Capstones, 2.3.17
By Alan W. Dowd
Not long ago, Syrian dictator Bashar Assad was clinging
to power. Bolstered and rescued by Moscow, Assad is now consolidating
control over areas that were once rebel strongholds. In recent weeks, for
instance, he flattened Aleppo. Before leaving his post as UN secretary general,Ban
Ki-moon called Aleppo “a synonym for hell”—and
Syria “a gaping hole in the global conscience.”
If ever there was a metaphor for former President Barack Obama’s
foreign policy—with its countless words marshalled to rationalize Pilate-like
inaction, with its army of straw men deployed to defeat any hint of criticism,
with its insistence on “bearing
witness” while doing little or, at most, too little too late, with its
oxymoronic commitment to “leading from behind,” with its soothing reassurances
that America can “focus on nation-building here at home”—it is Syria.
Obama is not to blame for Syria’s civil war or Assad’s
unspeakable brutality. But he is to blame for America’s nonresponse. With the Obama
White House committed to retrenchment and offshore balancing and all the other
euphemisms for doing just enough to look like it was not doing nothing,
American foreign policy became care-less
during the past eight years: Obama just didn’t seem to care about Syria and its
cascading consequences—or perhaps better said, cared enough to say something
but not enough to do anything.
At least give President Donald Trump credit for his candor.
Many months ago, his reactionto the slaughter in Syria was blunt and unfeeling: “Why do we care?” At this
early hour, we cannot predict what the Trump administration will or won’t do in
Syria. But given that Trump’s threshold for U.S. military intervention is “a
direct threat to our interest,” it’s likely he will be guided by the
“America First” don’t-tread-on-me nationalism he brandished during his
campaign.
Obama, on the other
hand, said things like this: “We cannot stand idly
by when a tyrant tells his people that there will be no mercy…where innocent
men and women face brutality and death at the hands of their own government.”
(That was his description of Libya, a year before Assad turned Syria into a
synonym for hell.) And this: “When
dictators commit atrocities, they depend upon the world to look the other way
until those horrifying pictures fade from memory…sometimes resolutions and statements
of condemnation are simply not enough.” (That was after Assad’s gassing of
Ghouta.) And this: “Too
often, the world has failed to prevent the killing of innocents on a massive
scale. And we are haunted by the atrocities that we did not stop and the
lives we did not save…Awareness without action changes nothing.” (That was
after a year of mass-killing in Syria.)
Obama’s
foreign policy would have been more understandable if he had never pretended to
care, if he hadn’t talked like Vaclav Havel and then acted like Henry
Kissinger. His defenders and
hagiographers can dress it up as a “return to realism,” but the hard truth is
that Obama is indicted by his own words.
Of course, words
always seemed more important to Obama than action. Consider his evaporating
“red line” after the chemical attacks on Ghouta, his empty demands that Russia
withdraw from Crimea and eastern Ukraine, his calls for China to respect
international waters, his declaration that America could “turn the page”
on the wars of 9/11.
In his book
“National Insecurity,” David Rothkopf includes a telling insight about Obama
from Zbigniew Brzezinski, who noticed early on that the 44th president “has
this personal characteristic somewhere in his mind that articulating something
and defining it is the equivalent of action.” Nothing could be further from the
truth, especially when dealing with tyrants.
Reasonable people disagreed about the merits of intervening in Syria—with some
arguing that intervention was unnecessary because Syria posed no threat to U.S.
interests, others that because of its special role in the world the U.S.
couldn’t sit by while civilians were butchered, and still others that the
ouster of Assad would be a blow to Iran and thus in America’s interests. These
were valid points. But they were secondary to the broader issue at stake.
Whether democracy in Damascus or human rights in Aleppo or vengeance for Ghouta
were worth risking American blood is open to debate. The importance of American
credibility, American leadership, American moral standing is not.
Obama never seemed to recognize this. As Leon Wieseltier observes in a scalding essay, Obama “transformed our country into
nothing other than a bystander to the greatest atrocity of our time...[D]uring
the past eight years, the values of rescue, assistance, protection,
humanitarianism and democracy have been demoted in our foreign policy and in
many instances banished altogether. The ruins of the finest traditions of
American internationalism, of American leadership in a darkening world, may be
found in the ruins of Aleppo.”
Consequences
Yet for those who were listening as Senator Obama began his long campaign for
the presidency, this came as no surprise. A detached, disengaged and care-less America is exactly what he
advertised.
For instance, he
made it clear that it is not America’s job to address humanitarian
crises. As the AP reported in
July 2007, “Presidential hopeful Barack Obama said Thursday the United States
cannot use its military to solve humanitarian problems and that preventing a
potential genocide in Iraq isn’t a good enough reason to keep U.S. forces
there.”
His defense of this
position sounded jarringly similar to that of isolationists, who always justify
non-intervention somewhere by pointing out that America cannot intervene
everywhere. “If that’s the criteria by which we are making decisions on the
deployment of U.S. forces,” the would-be Nobel Peace Prize recipient explained,
referring to genocide, “then by that argument you would have 300,000 troops in
the Congo right now…which we haven’t done.” He continued: “We would be
deploying unilaterally and occupying the Sudan, which we haven't done.”
This is sophistry. Just because America doesn’t
intervene every place doesn’t mean America shouldn’t intervene in some places.
Indeed, presidents from both parties have used military force to address
humanitarian problems and/or affronts to human rights: Ireland was ravaged by
famine in the 1840s, and the U.S. sent warships loaded with food. Spain turned
Cuba into a concentration camp, and McKinley launched America’s first
humanitarian war. An earthquake and tsunami devastated Japan, and Coolidge
deployed the U.S. Pacific Fleet to aid in recovery. Stalin tried to starve
Berlin into submission, and Truman launched the Berlin Airlift.Vietnamese children
were abandoned, and Ford launched Operation Babylift. Saddam Hussein tried to strangle the Kurds, then warlords
created a man-made famine in Somalia; and the elder Bush dispatched U.S.
troops to protect the friendless Kurds and feed the starving Somalis. Slobodan
Milosevic waged a war of ethnic cleansing in the Balkans, and Clinton used NATO
air power to stop him. Terrorists and tyrants turned large swaths of Southwest
Asia into a torture chamber, and the younger Bush used American might to build
a bridge back to civilization for Iraqis and Afghans.
Yes, many of these
interventions had strategic as well as humanitarian implications. Most
U.S. interventions do. Syria was one those instances where humanitarian ideals
and national interests overlapped. Early intervention to protect the Syrian
people—a humanitarian motivation—by using airpower to constrain the Assad
regime might have dissuaded Russia and Iran from jumping in, blocked jihadists
from gaining a toehold, protected Europe from a tidal wave of refugees, and
prevented Assad from using (or losing control of) his chemical weapons—all
national-security interests.
But
that’s off the table now. With Russian warplanes and advisors filling the
vacuum created by Obama’s inaction, the sort of U.S. intervention that could
have saved Syria’s people from the hell they have endured, while advancing the
national interest, is no longer an option.
Speaking
of Russia, after Putin intervened to prop up Assad, Obama warnedthat “it won't work” and will end up with Russia “stuck in a quagmire.” Sixteen
months later, Putin has achieved his primary objective of rescuing a puppet
regime, while reasserting and expanding Russia’s role in the Middle East, checking
U.S. influence, and securing Russia’s long-term presence—and influence—in a
region where it had neither since the fall of the Soviet Union. In fact, Assad
last month agreedto double the size of Russia’s naval base on Syria’s Mediterranean coast,
expand a Russian airbase near Latakia, and grant Moscow the right to deploy Russian forces in Syria for the next 49
years. Putin’s intervention in Syria was not a quagmire, but a victory.
Perspective
To be sure, Obama did intervene in Libya on humanitarian grounds, and he
ordered the U.S. military to return to Iraq, in part, to rescue the Yazidi
minority. But he was prodded into helping the Yazidis by Gen.
Martin Dempsey and shamed into acting in Libya by French President Nicolas
Sarkozy.
Even so, he held up Libya as the model for U.S.
intervention. “In just one month,” Obama gushedin early 2011, “the United States has worked with our international partners to
mobilize a broad coalition, secure an international mandate to protect
civilians, stop an advancing army, prevent a massacre and establish a no-fly
zone with our allies and partners.”
But it wasn’t enough for Obama to hail his achievements in
Libya (which turned out to be ephemeral). He
needed to contrast his record with the lesser men who sat in the Oval Office
before him: “To lend some perspective on how rapidly this military and
diplomatic response came together, when people were being brutalized in Bosnia
in the 1990s, it took the international community more than a year to intervene
with air power to protect civilians,” he gracelessly intoned. “It took us
31 days.”
To lend some perspective on how totally and terribly he
failed in Syria, consider this: In the final five years of Obama’s presidency,
more than 470,000 people were killed in Syria (including 50,000 children); 11
million Syrians were displaced; 13.5 million Syrians required humanitarian
assistance; 70 percent of Syria was left without access to drinking water; a
ghastly 11.5 percent of Syria’s population was killed or wounded; Iraq and
Syria were dismembered by jihadists; Russia and Iran expanded their reach and
role throughout the region; and the Pandora’s Box of chemical warfare was
reopened.
As the former president said, “Sometimes resolutions and
statements of condemnation are simply not enough.”