Providence, 4.10.17
By Alan W. Dowd
President Donald
Trump made the right decision in responding militarily to Syrian strongman
Bashar Assad’s latest chemical-weaponsattack,
which killed dozens of civilians. Assad’s
henchmen likely used some sort of nerve agent, and they unquestionably violated
decades-old prohibitions against the use of such weapons as well as an
internationally-brokered agreement Assad signed promising to surrender his WMD
arsenal. That fact serves as a reminder that neither the attack nor the U.S.
response occurred in a vacuum. Rather, both are part of long chain of actions
and inaction.
The agreement Assad
made to give up his chemical weapons—conceived with the blessing of Vladimir
Putin’s Foreign Ministry in September 2013, after the gassing of Ghouta—was
hailed by President Barack Obama as “an important concrete step toward the goal
of moving Syria’s chemical weapons under international control so that they may
ultimately be destroyed.” He warned that “if diplomacy fails, the United States
remains prepared to act.”
Some of us had serious doubtsabout the deal, which was implemented by the Organization for the Prohibition
of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).
The intervening years have confirmed those doubts. Even before this month’s
attack, Assad violated the agreement throughout the second half of the Obama
administration.
Less than two years after OPCW
began its work, proof of the deal’s utter failure was everywhere. The Washington Post, June 20, 2015:
“Barbarism with chlorine gas goes unchecked in Syria.” Voice of America, June 17, 2015: “Syrian doctors present evidence
of new chlorine gas attacks to U.S. Congress.” The Economist, May 13, 2015: “The gassing continues.” Reuters, May 8, 2015: “Weapons
inspectors find undeclared sarin and VX traces in Syria.” The New York Times, May 6, 2015: “Two years after President Bashar
al-Assad agreed to dismantle Syria’s chemical weapons stockpile, there is
mounting evidence that his government is flouting international law to drop
jerry-built chlorine bombs.”
But Obama, tragically, did
nothing. It pays to recall that Obama had warned Assad that using chemical
weapons would be a “red line” for the United States. Thus, after the Ghouta
attack (which killed 1,400), Obama explained
that Assad’s use of chemical weapons posed “a serious national security threat to the United States,” that “a
failure to stand against the use of chemical weapons would weaken prohibitions
against other weapons of mass destruction,” and that “it is in the national
security interests of the United States to respond to the Assad regime’s use of
chemical weapons through a targeted military strike.” Such a strike, the
president explained, would “send a clear message not only to the
Assad regime, but also to other countries that may be interested in testing
some of these international norms.”
Obama, it seemed, recognized
the importance of reinforcing the taboo against the use of chemical weapons—and
the confluence of U.S. interests and ideals in Syria.
But then he engaged in a prime-time
debate with himself and punted the problem to Congress. Make no mistake,
seeking congressional support for military action—something the much-maligned
Bush administration did before Afghanistan and Iraq—is the preferable way to go
to war. However, other precedents—Reagan in Grenada, the elder Bush in Panama,
Clinton in Kosovo, Obama himself in Libya and Iraq—underscore that
congressional authorization was not essential after Ghouta.
Obama sought a way out of his
conundrum by accepting Putin’s promise to cajole Assad into handing over his
WMDs. But entrusting an untrustworthy regime to vouch for the disarmament of
another untrustworthy regime was something like asking a serial killer to hand
over his bullets, letting him keep the gun, allowing him to avoid prosecution
and prison, and letting one of his accompliceshold the ammo for safekeeping.
Fast-forward
to today. Even though Citizen Trump urged Obama after Assad’s 2013 use of
chemical weapons, “Do not attack Syria…there is no upside and tremendous
downside,” President Trump ordered a
punitive military strike against the Syrian regime because he recognized, in a striking
echo of his predecessor’s assessment of the situation, that “it is in the vital
national security interest of the United States to prevent and deter the spread
and use of deadly chemical weapons.”
For
all his flaws, Trump seems to understand that actions are the only thing that
matter when dealing with the likes of Assad. As then-Secretary of State
John Kerry said after Ghouta, “It matters if nothing is done.”
Regrettably,
because Obama did nothing after the gassing of Ghouta, many options that
existed in 2013—striking command-and-control facilities, grounding or
eliminating the Syrian air force, targeting key nodes of regime power in
Damascus—are off the table today because Russian personnel and assets are
spread across Syria, most co-located with Assad’s military. Thus, the U.S.
military had to pre-informits Russian counterparts of the impending missile strike. Doubtless, Russian
commanders shared the news with their Syrian friends, sparing the guilty
parties and preserving their instruments of murder.
It’s
also important to note that Putin didn’t intervene in Syria until 2015. Obama’s
erased “red line” surely played a role in that decision. Whether the
U.S. should have avenged Ghouta or protected Aleppo or toppled Assad is open to
debate, but the importance of U.S. credibility is not. Obama failed to grasp
this; Putin acted accordingly.
If you subscribe to the notion
that U.S. foreign policy should be based solely on interests, it’s easy to avert your gaze from Syria’s hellscape. But as
the new president has learned, it’s much harder justifying a Pilate-like
approach for those who wrestle with the headlines and believe the civilized
world is called to defend more than narrow interests.
In Luke 12, Jesus explains,
“From the one who has been
entrusted with much, much more will be asked.” Given how much we Americans have
been entrusted with, why would heaven not expect us to help Syria’s innocents?
Similarly, Proverbs
3 commands, “Do not withhold good from those who deserve it, when it is in your
power to act.” Given America’s economic and military might, it’s
basically always within our power to act. Yet the power a president wields is a
finite resource. That may explain the retrenchment and the reluctance to lead that
has characterized U.S. foreign policy under both Obama and Trump.
If nothing else, the debacle in
Syria illustrates that Americans cannot count on Putin’s Russia to police the
Middle East—and that an assault on our collective conscience ultimately impacts
our interests.
To be sure, the Trump administration’s decision to punish Assad
for reopening this Pandora’s Box will carry costs and consequences. But we must
keep in mind that deciding not to punish Assad also carried costs, as the years
since Ghouta made abundantly clear.