Providence, 11.20.17
By Alan W. Dowd
The metastasizing revelations of Russian interference in the United
States’ political-electoral process—infecting an ever-widening circle of
American institutions—are troubling. But they are also clarifying: In
light of its actions in 2016, there should be no question as to whether
Vladimir Putin’s Russia is or can be a friend, no illusions that Putin can be mollified by promises of “resets” or post-election “flexibility,” no doubts about Moscow’s motivations, no debate over the threat posed by a revisionist Russia. The challenge now is to
fully expose Russia’s reach into our political system, strengthen our
institutions in order to protect them from another wave of foreign
influence, and defend liberal democracy at home and abroad.
Expose
The consequences of Russia’s strategic-influence operations—which
apparently penetrated the Clinton and Trump campaigns, then used
“weaponized leaks” to undermine confidence in former Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton—are far-reaching. Although Russia did not tamper with ballots,
the extent of Russian hacking raised Russia’s profile and capacity to
intimidate; undermined the legitimacy and effectiveness of the Trump
administration; weakened the faith of some Americans in their political
system; and, as former CIA official Mark Kelton concludes,
helped “advance Putin’s over-arching goals of degrading American power,
denigrating American ideals, and driving a wedge between President
Trump and the U.S. intelligence community.”
Putin’s methods may be new, but the challenge posed by foreign
influence in the U.S. political process is old. Alexander Hamilton
argued in Federalist No. 68 that given “the desire in foreign
powers to gain an improper ascendant in our councils,” the Constitution
should erect “every practicable obstacle” to prevent “intrigue and
corruption.” Likewise, in his farewell address,
President Washington thundered against the “insidious wiles of foreign
influence,” “mischiefs of foreign intrigue” and “avenues to foreign
influence.” “Foreign influence is one of the most baneful foes of
republican government,” he observed, urging his countrymen “to be
constantly awake” to such dangers.
The good news amidst all the troubling news is that key institutions
have been awakened to the dangers posed by Russia’s strategic-influence
operations. Day by day, these institutions are exploring and exposing
Russian intrusion into the U.S. political system.
The Senate Intelligence Committee, House Intelligence Committee,
Senate Judiciary Committee, and an army of lawyers led by Robert Mueller
are investigating Russia’s reach. News outlets that were once oblivious
to Russia’s malign influence and at times openly dismissive of those who dared argue that Putin’s Russia was/is a threat are digging into the Russia story.
That’s progress. After all, prior to the election, reputable media
outlets were not just being fed Russian propaganda—laundered through
layers of trolls, false-front organizations, fake think tanks, and Potemkin websites—they were lapping it up. (Kristofer
Harrison, who worked in the State Department and Defense Department
during the administration of President George W. Bush, points to examples at Bloomberg, Reuters and the New York Times.) Today, they are exposing the Kremlin’s many tentacles in Washington.
“Sunlight,” as Justice Brandeis observed, is indeed “the best of disinfectants.”
Strengthen
That brings us to strengthening our institutions against Russian influence. As Bush observed in a recent speech on the state of democracy in America and around the world, “America
must harden its own defenses” and “show resolve and resilience in the
face of external attacks on our democracy.”
Bush knows there’s more at work here than playful mischief: Putin’s Russia has tried to manipulate the press, influence policymakers through compromising material, sway public opinion by deceptive use of social media, gain access to critical infrastructure, and exacerbate racial tensions.
It appears Putin’s Russia made inroads into—and cultivated relations
with—associates of both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump (see here, here, here, here, and here); retained the services of U.S. lobbying firms; and used U.S. banks to move Russian-laundered money. “Normally, free commerce is good,” Harrison observes, “but not if it obscures an effort to undermine us.”
A U.S. intelligence report concludes that Moscow’s goal is to “undermine public faith in the U.S.
democratic process” and “undermine the U.S.-led liberal democratic
order.” That explains why policymakers on both sides of the aisle describe Russia’s behavior as “an act of war.”
In this light, NSC-68,
the pivotal national-security document penned in 1950 that provided a
roadmap for waging the Cold War, seems oddly relevant. NSC-68 noted that
Moscow’s “preferred technique is to subvert by infiltration and
intimidation,” that “every institution of our society is an instrument
which it is sought to stultify and turn against our purposes,” that
institutions “that touch most closely our material and moral strength
are obviously the prime targets,” that Moscow’s objective is to prevent
those institutions “from serving our ends and thus to make them sources
of confusion in our economy, our culture and our body politic.”
Yes, NSC-68 was a response to the communist Soviet Union. But it pays
to recall that post-Soviet, post-communist Russia is led by a former
KGB intelligence officer who was trained in the dark arts of
disinformation and influence manipulation. His intelligence agencies and
cyber-soldiers have triggered a cascade of scandals that are consuming
our government, creating confusion, and undermining public confidence.
“The Russians succeeded, I believe, beyond their wildest expectations,” former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper concludes. “Their first objective in the election was to sow
discontent, discord and disruption in our political life, and they have
succeeded…they’ve undermined our democratic system.”
To restore and preserve the integrity of America’s institutions—and
guard against their attention deficit disorder—congressional leaders
should create a standing joint committee of seasoned members to:
- a) monitor and investigate attempts by Russia and other foreign entities to interfere in the U.S. political-electoral system,
- b) secure funding to help state election agencies shield themselves from foreign intrusion, and
- c) identify individuals and entities that have collaborated with, or been compromised by, hostile governments like Russia.
Revealing such connections and relationships may prove painful. But
to borrow a passage from scripture, “The truth will set us free”—and
keep us free.
Defend
Finally, we come to defending liberal democracy.
“The great democracies face new and serious threats, yet seem to be
losing confidence in their own calling and competence,” Bush observes.
On the threat side of the ledger, Russian intelligence has conducted
similar strategic-influence operations against the Netherlands, Estonia,
Germany, and Britain, Newsweekreports. A European Union investigation adds that Russia used disinformation operations to influence political outcomes in France.
On the confidence side, a Freedom House report reveals that “67 countries suffered net declines in political
rights and civil liberties in 2016, compared with 36 that registered
gains…the 11th consecutive year in which declines outnumbered
improvements.” Equally worrisome: “While in past years the declines in
freedom were generally concentrated among autocracies and dictatorships
that simply went from bad to worse, in 2016 it was established
democracies—countries rated Free in the report’s ranking system—that
dominated the list of countries suffering setbacks.”
America’s recent phase of retrenchment hasn’t helped. Just 22
percent of Americans say the U.S. should “promote democracy and freedom
in other countries”—down from 70 percent in 2005. Reflecting the
national mood, President Barack Obama focused on “nation-building here
at home”; mustered only muted reactions when Iran’s democracy movement was smashed; left proto-democracies in
Iraq, Libya, and Ukraine to fend for themselves; and, with the help of
the bipartisan gamble known as sequestration, shrank the reach, role and
resources of democracy’s greatest defender—the U.S. military.
In a surprising echo of Obama, President Donald Trump argues, “We
have to build our own nation”; endorses an “America First” foreign
policy that evokes pre-World War II isolationism; and describes “trying to topple various people”—we can infer he’s talking about
dictators in Iraq and Libya—as “a tremendous disservice to humanity.”
“After eight years as president,” Freedom House concludes, “Obama
left office with America’s global presence reduced and its role as a
beacon of world freedom less certain.” Trump, Freedom House worries,
could prolong democracy’s doldrums by pursuing “a foreign policy
divorced from America’s traditional strategic commitments to democracy,
human rights and the rules-based international order that it helped to
construct.”
Obama and Trump may be in tune with a majority of the country, but it
seems much of the country forgets that democracy-promotion has been a
hallmark of U.S. foreign policy for many decades.
President Woodrow Wilson challenged Americans to “fight for the
things which we have always carried nearest our hearts—for democracy…the
rights and liberties of small nations.” He believed a world teetering
between dictatorships and democracies was inherently dangerous for
America. Thus, when he talked about making the world “safe for
democracy,” he was talking about building a safer world for America.
President Franklin Roosevelt argued, “Freedom of person and security
of property anywhere in the world depend upon the security of the rights
and obligations of liberty and justice everywhere in the world.”
President Harry Truman vowed “to help free peoples maintain their free institutions.”
President Dwight Eisenhower rallied Americans to “help our world
neighbors protect their freedom and advance their social and economic
progress.”
President John Kennedy promised America would “bear any burden…to assure the survival and the success of liberty.”
President Ronald Reagan declared, “It is time that we committed ourselves…to assisting democratic development.”
Bush argued, “America has always been less secure when freedom is in retreat” and “more secure when freedom is on the march.”
If Washington now lacks the will to promote democracy, it must at
least preserve democracy by returning to what FDR called “armed defense
of democratic existence.”
That means maintaining the military strength to deter revisionist
governments like Russia. Recall that a Republican Congress and a
Democratic president—in a time of war—slashed defense spending from 4.6
percent of GDP to 3.1 percent.
“Defense of democratic existence” means reassuring fellow democracies
that, in FDR’s words, “We are putting forth our energies, our resources
and our organizing powers to give you the strength to regain and
maintain a free world.” That translates into permanent NATO bases in
democratic Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, and Poland (rather than a
“rotating presence”), arms for democratic Ukraine (rather than MREs), and technical-economic assistance for democratic allies (rather than angry tweets and public scolding).
“Defense of democratic existence” means re-joining the battle of
ideas. NATO commander Gen. Curtis Scaparrotti urges Washington to “bring
the information aspects of our national power more fully to bear on
Russia.” He recommends strengthening and unleashing the Russian Information Group (a joint
effort of U.S European Command and the State Department) and the State
Department’s Global Engagement Center (a project charged with countering
foreign disinformation). Clapper urges Congress to revive the U.S.
Information Agency, which was shut down in 1999.
When faced with similar challenges to free government, Reagan
launched the National Endowment for Democracy “to foster the
infrastructure of democracy.” In a similar way, perhaps the world’s
leading democratic groupings—the G-7, European Union, NATO, and its
partners in Israel, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, and
Australia—should create a pool of resources to rebuild the
infrastructure of democracy, expose Moscow’s meddling and help those in
the Kremlin’s crosshairs preserve their democratic institutions.