Capstones, 11.2.17
By Alan W. Dowd
We have heard much in recent years from the Oval Office about allies “free-riding” and not “paying their share.” Setting aside the myriad problems with publicly scolding allies, such broad-brush criticisms are often unfair and unwarranted—especially
when it comes to Japan. Spurred by China’s drive for regional hegemony
and North Korea’s reckless missile tests, Japan is turning the page on
decades of postwar pacifism and increasingly contributing to stability
in the Asia-Pacific. With his party’s lopsided victory in October’s snap elections, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is primed to
steer Japan into a new era of regional and global leadership. Washington
should encourage and applaud Tokyo’s return to the international stage.
Dangers on the Doorstep
“My immediate task is to deal with North Korea,” Abe said after the
election. “It will take tough diplomacy. With the mandate given by the
people, I would like to exercise my command in diplomacy.”
“Immediate” is the operative word: As The Washington Post
points out, “three of the four missiles that North Korea launched March 6
fell within Japan’s exclusive economic zone in the Sea of Japan,” a
North Korean missile tested in May has a range of 2,800 miles “easily
putting all of Japan…within reach,” and North Korea “fired a missile
over Japan in 1998 and again in 2009.”
All told, North Korea has fired 22 missiles this year. In fact, under
Kim Jong Un, North Korea has detonated more nuclear devices and
test-launched more missilery than it did under his father.
As a consequence, Japan’s government this year revised its
civil-defense guidelines to include “for the first time instructions on
how to respond if a North Korean ballistic missile is heading toward
Japan,” the Postreports.
The updated civil-defense document notes that “It is extremely
difficult to be able to pinpoint missile landing areas before their
launch,” explains that “a warning will be issued to the effect that a
launch of a ballistic missile is imminent,” and grimly concedes that “It
is difficult to specify the kind of warheads (conventional warheads or
nuclear, biological and chemical warheads) before they land.”
Put another way: While American politicians quibble about
presidential condolence calls, Abe and his cabinet are trying to prepare
their nation for an unprovoked missile attack and mass-casualty event.
But North Korea is not Japan’s only security worry.
In 2016, the Japanese air force had to respond to 851 Chinese incursions into, or encroachments on, Japanese airspace.
Similar incursions are happening around Japanese islands and waters. Based on maps created by Chinese cartographers in 1947, China is laying claim to vast
swaths of the South and East China Seas, turning coral reefs hundreds
of miles from its territorial waters into military outposts, and
violating its neighbors’ sovereignty in a brazen military context.
Satellite images detail Beijing’s island-construction operations. These made-in-China
islands have obvious military applications. According to the U.S.-China
Economic and Security Review Commission, “China appears to be expanding
and upgrading military and civilian infrastructure—including radars,
satellite communication equipment, antiaircraft and naval guns, helipads
and docks—on some of the man-made islands.” One of the islands has a
10,000-foot airstrip—big enough for long-range bombers and
fighter-interceptors.
As the Japanese Defense Ministry puts it, Beijing “continues to
display what may be described as a heavy-handed attitude, including its
attempts to alter the status quo by force.” Abe is less nuanced,
concluding that China is trying to turn the South China Sea into “Lake
Beijing.” His response serves a as a reminder that America has a serious
and stalwart partner in the not-so-pacific Pacific: “We will firmly
defend the lives and property of Japanese people as well as our
territories, territorial waters and territorial air space.”
Helping Hand
Abe is backing up his words with actions.
In response to Beijing’s outlandish claims and Pyongyang’s outrageous
behavior, Japan has increased defense spending five consecutive years.
The 2018 defense budget will be 2.5-percent larger than the 2017 budget;
and at $48.1 billion, it will set a defense-spending record for Japan.
As The Diplomatreports,
Japan’s 2018 defense budget includes money for an Aegis Ashore
missile-defense system, SM-3 Block 2A interceptor missiles, a new radar
system capable of tracking stealth aircraft, F-35A stealth fighters,
V-22 tilt-rotor aircraft, and two new warships. In fact, Japan has
announced plans to produce two frigates per year, rather than the
previously planned one per year, Reuters reports.
Japan is a global leader in missile-defense development and
deployment—and understandably so, given the reckless regime next door in
North Korea. The U.S. and Japan co-developed the SM-3 Block 2A
interceptor missile. Japan hosts two powerful AN/TPY-2 missile-defense
radars, which are networked with other U.S. missile-defense assets. And
Japan deploys a fleet of six Aegis missile-defense warships (eight by
2020). Japan, South Korea and the U.S. have begun joint missile-defense
exercises (see here and here) to prepare for what was once unthinkable but increasingly seems inevitable.
Condemning “continuous provocations” by China, Abe has increased the
troop strength of Japan’s Self-Defense Force (JSDF) for the first time
in 20 years. Japan’s troop deployments in the East China Sea have
increased by 20 percent (to some 10,000 personnel). Tokyo is deploying
massive “helicopter carriers” that can be up-converted to launch
vertical-takeoff F-35Bs. And the JSDF is standing up an amphibious unit
modeled after the U.S. Marine Corps.
The JSDF amphibious unit will be a 3,000-strong battle-ready force
deployed on Japan’s southernmost islands; the unit will be equipped with
amphibious vehicles and V-22 Ospreys.
One of Japan’s helicopter carriers—the largest Japanese warship put
to sea since World War II—was recently christened and promptly deployed
to waters off the Indian coast for exercises with the U.S. and Indian
navies. The U.S.-Japan-India naval maneuvers in July—featuring 17 ships
and submarines from the three countries, including the U.S. aircraft
carrier Nimitz, India’s carrier Vikramaditya and Japan’s helicopter carrier Izumo—marked the largest naval exercise in the region in more than two decades.
Similarly, in a signal to China that the West is ready to defend
international waterways and island territories in the Pacific, Japanese
troops and warships joined the U.S., Britain and France for military exercises around Guam and Tinian in May. As AP reports, the drills featured two
French warships; British helicopters and troops; Japanese landing craft;
210 Japanese troops; and U.S. Marines.
The Japanese government recently agreed to allow the JSDF to support
U.S. forces throughout the Asia-Pacific region, and the U.S. military is
training to transport JSDF personnel by air and sea, Stars and Stripes reports.
Japan is also partnering with the U.S. on freedom of navigation
exercises in response to Beijing’s attempt to annex waters and islands
to which it has no right.
Elsewhere, Japan is participating in maritime policing operations in
the Strait of Malacca and Bay of Bengal, as well as the Combined
Maritime Forces—a partnership of 31 nations that contribute naval and
air assets, basing and/or personnel to operations focused on security in
the Persian Gulf, counterterrorism and counterpiracy.
In addition, Japan is helping the Philippines and Vietnam defend
their territorial waters by supplying maritime patrol ships and training
to these former foes.
Add it all up, and it’s undeniable that Japan’s return to the
international stage is promoting stability in its neighborhood and
beyond, strengthening a rules-based order that is increasingly under
assault, and serving as a force multiplier for America’s overstretched
military. In short, Japan and its resolute prime minister deserve
America’s support.