ASCF REPORT | JUNE 1, 2019
BY ALAN W. DOWD
The Senate Armed Services Committee has
voted in favor of standing up a new military branch focused on defending U.S.
interests and assets in space. Although the plan still faces obstacles
in the House, there is growing bipartisan support for the new branch—and
a growing body of evidence that the time has come for America to create
a Space Force.
Interests
When President Donald Trump directed the Pentagon “to immediately begin the process necessary to establish a
Space Force as the sixth branch of the Armed Forces,” several media
outlets panned it as a “Space Farce.” One dismissed it as “ridiculous.”
Another news segment featured reporters openly laughing at the idea.
Their reactions expose their ignorance about the subject.
What the giggling pundits apparently don’t know is that a military
branch dedicated to defending America’s increasingly-vulnerable
interests and assets in space is not a new idea—and is anything but a
farce.
In the 1990s, the Clinton administration adopted a space policy
directing the Pentagon to “develop, operate and maintain space-control
capabilities to ensure freedom of action in space and, if directed, to
deny such freedom of action to adversaries.”
In 2000, a congressionally-appointed commission openly contemplated the establishment of “a Space Corps within the Air
Force” and concluded that “in the longer term” it may necessary to
create “a military department for space”—a U.S. Space Force.
In 2016, John Hamre, deputy secretary of defense under President Bill Clinton, argued,
“We are not well organized to deal with the new challenges we face in
space. The old structure may have been sufficient when space was an
uncontested area of operations. That time has passed.” He mentioned as
possible alternatives: creating a full-fledged Space Force, carving out
“a Space Service…within the Department of the Air Force” like the
Navy-Marine Corps relationship, or “elevating the Space Command to
become equal in stature to the Strategic Command.”
In 2017, Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Ala.) and Rep. Jim Cooper (D-Tenn.),
called for “the creation, under the secretary of the Air Force, of a new
Space Corps, as a separate military service responsible for national
security space programs.”
Finally, just last month, several leading figures in national security and defense policy signed an open letter expressing “strong support” for the president’s plan to forge an
independent Space Force. The bipartisan group of statesmen, intelligence
officials, flag officers and astronauts includes William Perry (Defense
Secretary under Clinton), Dennis Blair (Director of National
Intelligence under President Barack Obama) and Mike McConnell (Director
of National Intelligence under President George W. Bush).
“We strongly encourage action to establish the U.S. Space Force, to
realize the full potential of space power and space capabilities in
order to protect and advance U.S. vital national interests,” they write.
Noting that “America’s preeminent position in space activities has
contributed to the nation’s political prestige, international influence,
scientific knowledge, technological advancement, homeland security, and
national defense,” the blue-ribbon group argues that “The establishment
of a new military service for space is necessary for putting America on
a path to effectively deter conflict from beginning in or extending
into space, and, if deterrence fails, to defeat hostile actions and
protect our economic and national security interests in space.”
What Perry and his fellow signatories understand—and what those who
are mocking the Space Force concept fail to grasp—is that space plays a
crucial role in America’s economy and national security. A recent Space
Foundation report reveals a global space economy of more than $323 billion. More than
221,500 Americans work in the space sector. Non-government U.S. space
spending tops $32 billion annually. Of the 1,300 functioning satellites
orbiting earth, 568 are American.
Yet most Americans are oblivious to how much we depend on space for
communications, commerce, air travel and ground transport, emergency
services and most notably, for national security: Missile-defense
warships prowling the Pacific, ground troops patrolling Afghanistan,
UCAVs circling over Yemen and Somalia, JDAMs strapped to fighter-bombers
loitering over Syria, air squadrons and armored battalions protecting
the Baltics, sensors monitoring Russian, Chinese and North Korean nukes,
the communications systems that connect troops, weapons, bases, allies
and the National Command Authority, the infrastructure of the entire
military—all of this depends on space assets.
A typical Army armored brigade, for instance, “contains over 2,000
pieces of equipment that rely on space assets to function,” the
Lexington Institute’s Loren Thompson notes. As Defense One adds, the Army’s overall “Space Cadre” has increased from 2,047 personnel in 2011 to 4,169 today.
Citing the fast-emerging threat posed by hypersonic missiles,
Undersecretary of Defense Michael Griffin, argues, “We just can’t do
what we need to do in missile defense without space.”
In short, space “is no longer simply an enabler and force enhancer,”
as Air Force leaders explained in a recent report to Congress, “it is an
essential military capability and a key component of joint warfare.”
Threats
Just as maritime trade and seaborne threats obliged us to create the
U.S. Navy, just as commercial air travel and airborne threats obliged us
to create the U.S. Air Force, a mix of economic opportunities and
security risks oblige us to create a U.S. Space Force.
China and Russia represent most of those risks.
“China and Russia are developing, testing, and fielding space and
counterspace weapon systems that threaten our ability to use space for
national security and economic purposes,” Perry and his cosigners
conclude. As a result, “America’s long-standing strategic advantage in
space is eroding.”
China has “the most rapidly maturing space program in the world,” according to a 2015 Pentagon report.
A 2016 report adds, “PLA writings emphasize the necessity of
‘destroying, damaging and interfering with the enemy’s
reconnaissance…and communications satellites,’ suggesting that such
systems, as well as navigation and early warning satellites, could be
among the targets of attacks designed to ‘blind and deafen the enemy.’”
Thus, “The PLA is acquiring a range of technologies to improve China’s
counter-space capabilities.” These include “directed-energy
weapons…satellite jammers…anti-satellite capabilities.”
The Pentagon’s 2019 report on China notes that Beijing successfully launched 38 space vehicles in
2018—China’s “largest space launch year to-date.” The Pentagon also
reports that China “continues development of multiple counterspace
capabilities designed to degrade and deny adversary use of space-based
assets during a crisis or conflict” and “has probably made progress on
the antisatellite missile system it tested in July 2014.”
China has conducted at least three tests of anti-satellite weapons
(ASATs): a 2007 test that purposely rammed a kill vehicle into an aging
Chinese satellite; the 2014 test that demonstrated the same capability
without creating a minefield of space debris; and a 2013 test that sent
an ASAT into what published reports describe as “ultra-high altitude…three-times higher than the weapon tested in 2007 and 2014.”
Likewise, Russia tested a new ASAT in 2015. In 2013 and 2014, the
Russian military deployed a number of satellites capable of “rendezvous
and proximity operations”—military parlance for maneuvering around other
satellites in order to disrupt or disable them. Russia recently
deployed 37 satellites in a single rocket launch. And to remove any
doubt about how Russia intends to use its space assets, Moscow announced
in 2015 that Russia’s “air forces, anti-air and anti-missile defenses,
and space forces will now be under a unified command structure” known
as the Aero-Space Forces.
Steps
“It is a national imperative that we posture ourselves to deter any
conflict that would extend to space, and if deterrence were to fail,
that we fight and win,” argues Gen. John Raymond, commander of Space Command.
As detailed above, there’s an emerging consensus among policymakers that the best way to do that is to create a Space Force.
Under the plan approved by the Senate Armed Services Committee, the
commander of SPACECOM would initially serve as head of the U.S. Space
Force. “After one year,” Defense One explains, “the positions would
separate into two four-star billets: one general would lead Space Force
as its chief of staff, and the other general would command U.S. Space
Command. At that point, the Space Force chief would become a member of
the Joint Chiefs of Staff, alongside the chiefs of the Army, Navy, Air
Force, Marines and National Guard.”
This is a big step, to be sure. It’s not every day that a new branch
of the military is created. But it’s the right step to take to defend
America’s interests and deter America’s enemies. As George Washington
counseled, “There is nothing so likely to produce peace as to be well
prepared to meet an enemy.”
That time-tested truth applies whether the enemy lurks on land, at sea, in the sky or in space.