CAPSTONES | JULY 1, 2019
BY ALAN W. DOWD
President Donald Trump’s reversal of his own decision to authorize punitive military strikes against Iran in response to the shootdown of a U.S. drone operating in international airspace and the mine attack against a Japanese oil tanker sailing in international waters is the
most recent and most dramatic evidence of his deep reluctance to play
what the Center for America’s Purpose calls the “system administrator” role. As we have seen in the past decade, the international system
America built after World War II doesn’t work without America ensuring
that it works.Echoes
To maintain some semblance of order, the world relies on great powers
like the United States to do the dirty work others cannot do, to serve
as civilization’s first responder and last line of defense, and to
punish outlaw regimes such as Iran when they get too far out of line.
This system administrator role sometimes resembles how a policeman
responds to criminal activity (e.g., America’s response to the communist
invasion of South Korea during the Truman administration, to Khrushchev
in the Caribbean and Qaddafi in the Gulf of Sidra, to Iranian attacks
on international shipping during the Reagan administration, to
Milosevic’s ethnic cleansing during the Clinton administration). At
other times, it resembles how a fire department responds to tragedy
(e.g., America’s response to the famine in Somalia during the Bush 41
administration, to the Indian Ocean tsunami during the Bush 43
administration, to the Ebola outbreak during the Obama administration).
And sometimes it demands a lot more than simply stopping criminal
activity or triaging the victims of tragedy. Sometimes the system
administrator is called upon to tackle intractable problems that cannot
be fixed with missiles, speeches or tweets—problems
that demand open-ended, long-term commitment (e.g., remaking Japan,
Germany, South Korea and Western Europe; containing and deterring the
Soviet Empire; rolling back jihadism and clearing its spawning grounds).
The reason the American people have taken on such burdens is not out
of a sense altruism or philanthropy—though they have certainly made
selfless sacrifices at times—but more so because they believed or were
persuaded to believe it was in their interests to do so. Yet as
evidenced by the elections of 2008, 2012 and 2016—and by the words and
actions of the men they have chosen to serve as president the past 10
years—the American people are no longer convinced that the system
administrator role is worth their time, blood and treasure.
The political right increasingly seems to think America is too good
for the world, the political left that America can do no good in the
world. Interestingly, these disparate worldviews lead to the same
destination: disengagement and isolation. To be sure, the style, word
choice and decibel level are different—Trump employs shoot-from-the-hip
brinkmanship, bombast and bluster before backing down, President Barack Obama employed well-crafted speeches, professorial arguments and an army of strawmen before backing down—but both men have pulled America away from the role it played between 1945 and 2009.
Before scoffing at this, consider the record.
As AP reported in 2007, “Presidential hopeful Barack Obama said
Thursday the United States cannot use its military to solve humanitarian
problems and that preventing a potential genocide in Iraq isn’t a good
enough reason to keep U.S. forces there.” Obama’s defense of this
position sounded jarringly similar to that of isolationists, who always
justify non-intervention somewhere by pointing out that America has not
intervened everywhere: “If that’s the criteria by which we are making
decisions on the deployment of U.S. forces,” he explained, referring to
genocide, “then by that argument you would have 300,000 troops in the
Congo right now—where millions have been slaughtered as a consequence of
ethnic strife.” He continued, “We would be deploying unilaterally and
occupying the Sudan, which we haven't done.”
Once in office, Obama emphasized he “was elected to end wars, not to start them,” reassured the American
people that it was “time to focus on nation-building here at home,”
withdrew U.S. stabilization forces from Iraq over the objections of his military commanders, tried to “lead from behind” in Libya, drew
and then erased his own “red line” in Syria and then engaged in a prime-time debate with himself over that decision, and allowed sequestration to shrink the reach, role and resources of the U.S. military.
The consequences were predictable: the rise of ISIS; the
near-collapse of Iraq and a mini-genocide of Iraq’s Yazidis and
Christians (catastrophes forestalled largely by the intervention of Gen. Martin Dempsey);
the expansion of Iran’s malign influence across the Middle East; the
return of Russia to a region from which it had been exiled since the end
of the Cold War; the decline of U.S. credibility in the eyes of the
Saudis, Israelis, French and other allies.
To his credit, Trump ended sequestration’s maiming of the military.
But many of his other policies have accelerated the disengagement that
began under his predecessor. In a surprising echo of Candidate Obama’s
reaction to questions about humanitarian intervention, Candidate Trump
was unfeeling about the humanitarian disaster in Syria, coldly asking,
“Why do we care?” And in words uncannily similar to his predecessor’s,
Candidate Trump said, “We have to build our own nation.”
Once in office, Trump declared that “Great nations do not fight endless wars,” withdrew U.S. forces from Syria over the objections of his military commanders, issued warnings to Iran and then failed to follow through on his warnings and then exposed his indecision to the world, and announced that “the United States cannot continue to be the policeman of the world.”
Laments
Both men have engaged in sophistry.
Contrary to Obama, just because America can’t intervene every
place doesn’t mean America shouldn’t intervene in some places. Since the
late 19th century, presidents have used military force to
address affronts to human rights: Spain turned Cuba into a concentration
camp, and McKinley launched America’s first humanitarian war; Stalin
tried to starve Berlin into submission, and Truman launched Operation
Vittles; Vietnamese babies were abandoned, and Ford launched Operation
Babylift; Saddam Hussein tried to strangle the friendless Kurds, and
Bush 41 dispatched U.S. troops to protect them; Slobodan Milosevic tried
to “cleanse” the Balkans, and Clinton used a NATO air armada to stop
him.
Moreover, while presidents should never go looking for a fight, they
actually are not elected to “end wars,” regardless of how Obama
understood his mandate. In fact, presidents are elected, according to
the Constitution, to serve as “commander in chief of the Army and Navy
of the United States, and of the militia of the several states.”
Contrary to Trump, great nations actually do fight long, open-ended
wars. In fact, this seems to be one of the defining characteristics of
great powers throughout history—from Rome to Britain to America. Recall
that the U.S. waged war on piracy for much of the 19th century. For more
than half of the 19th century, the U.S. waged war to defend and expand
its frontiers. For half the 20th century, the U.S. waged the Cold War
against the Soviet Empire. And for nearly all of the 21st century, the
U.S. has waged a Global War on Terror against jihadist groups and their
patron states—a struggle that appears far from over.
We can lament the fact that America engaged in some or all of these
conflicts, or that the world draws America into such open-ended
engagements, or that the world often forces America to take military
action in defense of its interests and values, or that man is bent
toward conflict and brokenness. But no one can seriously claim that
great nations don’t wage lengthy wars, or that a president’s job is to
end wars.
This tendency for great powers to be engaged in the world and the
world’s problems isn’t always a function of an imperial impulse or a
desire for martial glory. Oftentimes it’s a function of very real
dangers threatening the great power or the international system or
both—since it's always in the interest of the great power at any given
time to maintain and extend the system it dominates.
Today, for example, open seas and open skies enable the movement of
goods, people and resources, all of which fuel America’s economy.
By defending norms of behavior and international borders, the U.S.
prevents the world from sliding into chaos and maintains some semblance
of order, which is an essential prerequisite for trade and commerce.
Stable governments generally serve as an antidote to a host of
pathologies that have a way of harming Americans—terrorism, piracy, drug
trafficking, illegal mass-migration.
Dependable and strong allies serve as an outer ring of security for the U.S. and contribute to international stability.
Promoting democratic government helps prevent conflict, because democratic states seldom go to war with one another.
However, the seas and skies will not remain open, international
borders will not be respected, those pathologies will not be kept at
bay, alliances will not be maintained, and free government will not
survive or grow without the backing of American might. Put another way:
In the years between Pearl Harbor and 2009, the United States conducted a
forward-leaning foreign policy not to go looking for problems, but
rather to address problems before they exploded.
Threats
The 44th and 45th presidents don’t agree with this premise, and it seems they are in step with the American people. Fifty-seven percent of Americans “want the U.S. to deal with its own problems, while
letting other countries get along as best they can”—up from 30 percent
in 2002 and 20 percent in 1964.
The defense that Trump and Obama are merely reflecting the
world-weariness of an inward-looking electorate may be accurate, but
that doesn’t make it right. Leadership—especially on matters of national
security—is often about convincing the American people to follow a path
they would rather not take. Think about Jefferson abandoning a policy
of appeasement and instead waging war on piracy half-a-world away;
Lincoln transforming the Civil War from a struggle merely to preserve
the Union into a struggle to abolish slavery; FDR dragging America back
onto the world stage; Truman arguing for open-ended engagement and
global containment of Moscow; Reagan reviving the nation’s flagging
commitment to what Truman began; Bush 41 building support for the
defense of Saudi Arabia and liberation of Kuwait; Clinton wading into
the Balkans; Bush 43 defending the surge.
Yes, there’s something to be said for husbanding our finite
resources. But the spending records of Obama and Trump put the lie to
any claim they have to fiscal responsibility. Moreover, it is not
America’s defense commitments that are draining the treasury and
overextending us, but rather domestic spending.
In a broader sense, it’s dispiriting to watch America retreat,
reverse and retrench. Great nations do not turn inward, issue empty
threats, lead from behind, take vacations or hide behind walls. Instead,
as TR observed, they “rather run the risk of wearing out than rusting
out."