ASCF REPORT | 10.1.19
BY ALAN W DOWD
Hong Kong has been paralyzed by
protests throughout 2019. The protests began when a bill was introduced
in Hong Kong’s pro-PRC legislative body that would allow extradition to
Mainland China of Hong Kong residents accused of crimes. Even after Hong
Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam withdrew the bill, protesters remained
in the streets calling for political reforms. As of this writing,
literally millions of people in Hong Kong have joined the anti-Beijing, pro-democracy protests. As they wave America’s flag and sing America’s national anthem, they are reminding us that the world still needs America to stand for freedom.
Control
Here in the American Heartland, the
protest movement’s demands seem both reasonable and unthreatening. As
the Straits Times reports, the movement is calling for “amnesty for all
arrested protesters, an independent inquiry into alleged police
brutality, universal suffrage for the Chief Executive and Legislative
Council elections, [and] resignation of Mrs. Lam, whom some accuse of
being a puppet of Beijing.”
But from Beijing’s perspective, these
demands represent a mortal threat to the regime, for they strike at the
heart of Beijing’s control over Hong Kong.
Amnesty for the protesters would mean
the people can disagree with the PRC government and ignore the demands
of the regime—and get away with it. This calls to mind how Reagan described the
differences between the Soviet and American systems: “Two Soviets were
talking to each other. And one of them asked, ‘What’s the difference
between the Soviet Constitution and the United States Constitution?’ And
the other one said, ‘That’s easy. The Soviet Constitution guarantees
freedom of speech and freedom of gathering. The American Constitution
guarantees freedom after speech and freedom after gathering.’”
An independent investigation of police
brutality—perhaps carried out by a UN agency or some other international
monitoring group—would undermine the PRC’s authority and control over
Hong Kong, which would undermine its legitimacy on the Mainland.
A popular vote for the Chief Executive
and Legislative Council would eliminate Beijing’s ability to indirectly
control Hong Kong.
Lam’s forced resignation would mean the
people of Hong Kong are in charge—not the business-suit autocrats in
Beijing. Indeed, it’s worth noting that most of the protesters are
demonstrating under banners that read: “Hong Kong Is Not China.” Xi
Jinping and his henchmen hold the very opposite view. The core of Xi’s
political program is reunification of
Chinese peoples and territories by “all necessary means.” For Hong Kong
to seek independence and Taiwan to defiantly maintain independence from
the Mainland is “a humiliating rejection of Beijing’s Asian centrality
by an undeniably Chinese people,” as Robert Kagan of the Brookings
Institution observes.
That explains why the PRC’s office in
Hong Kong has labeled the protesters’ actions as “serious violent
crimes.” The PRC recently began underlining its words with actions. As
France24 reports, satellite images show PRC troops and armored personnel
carriers massing in Shenzhen, just across the bay from Hong Kong. The
PRC maintains a garrison 10,000 troops in Hong Kong. As of this writing,
they have remained in their barracks, but the situation is fluid.
Speak Up
Just as Beijing is sending signals with its troop deployments, Washington should send signals with words and actions.
“Freedom is the essence of our nation,” Reagan once said. “We remain the beacon of hope for oppressed peoples everywhere.”
What was true in the early 1980s
remains true in 2019, and President Donald Trump needs to use the tools
of the presidency to shine that beacon-light of freedom on the crisis in
Hong Kong. To his credit, Trump took this very tack vis-à-vis North
Korea during his 2018 State of the Union address. It’s time to use the
bully pulpit in the same way with Beijing.
So far, Trump has been, at best, muted with regard to the situation in Hong Kong.Trump initially
urged the PRC to “deal humanely with Hong Kong,” noted that “Hong Kong
is a part of China,” and even said, “They don’t need advice.”
He was a bit firmer during his address
at the UN, declaring that “The world fully expects that the Chinese
government will honor its binding treaty, made with the British and
registered with the United Nations, in which China commits to protect
Hong Kong’s freedom, legal system and democratic ways of life.”
According to Trump, “How China chooses to handle the situation will say a
great deal about its role in the world in the future. We are all
counting on President Xi as a great leader.”
That’s far short of the full-throated
encouragement Reagan offered those who yearned for freedom—from Central
America to Central Europe—during the Cold War.
No one is suggesting that Trump send in
the 82nd Airborne. But there are things the president can say and do to
burnish America’s interests as well as its ideals—and to make Beijing
think twice before repeating the crimes of Tiananmen.
For starters, the president should speak the truth.
“Let us begin with candor, with words that rest on plain and simple facts,”Reagan said in the coldest days of the Cold War. “The
differences between America and the Soviet Union are deep and abiding.
The United States is a democratic nation. Here the people rule. We build
no walls to keep them in, nor organize any system of police to keep
them mute…It’s difficult for us to understand the restrictions of
dictatorships which seek to control each institution and every facet of
people’s lives—the expression of their beliefs, their movements and
their contacts with the outside world.” These differences “put us into
natural conflict and competition with one another,” he added
matter-of-factly. But he also noted, “This
doesn’t mean that we can’t deal with each other…The fact that neither
of us likes the other’s system is no reason to refuse to talk.”
Thus, Reagan negotiated arms agreements
with Moscow, even as he relentlessly and repeatedly defended human
rights. He emphasized the Soviet regime’s persecution of Christians and
its refusal to allow hundreds of thousands of Jews to emigrate.
Gorbachev would try to limit discussions to arms control, but Reagan, in
his own words, always “led off” summit meetings by raising human
rights.
These same principles—these same approaches—apply to the U.S.-PRC relationship.
Thus, Trump should negotiate trade
deals and seek common ground with Beijing where possible, while offering
moral support to the forces of freedom in Hong Kong and on the
Mainland. “A little less détente,” as Reagan argued, “and more
encouragement to the dissenters might be worth a lot of armored
divisions.”
Toward that end, Trump should draw attention to China’s laogai prisons, underground churches and Charter08 signatories;
talk about Beijing’s brutal treatment of Uighur Muslims and Christians;
rally like-minded allies to create an International Endowment for
Democracy to expose China’s efforts to undermine Western political
systems; and provide a platform where Chinese human-rights activists and
political dissidents can speak.
Push Back
Washington can do more than shine the light on Beijing’s behavior and speak up for freedom in Hong Kong.
For example, China has stood up hundreds of so-called Confucius Institutes around the world and in the U.S. These organizations spread Chinese propaganda and circumvent the
Foreign Agents Registration Act. Congress and the president should work
together to craft legislation requiring that China allow an equal
number of U.S. cultural centers to be opened at Chinese universities,
and stipulating that Beijing’s refusal to agree to such a reciprocal
arrangement would result in shutting down all of China’s Confucius
Institutes in the U.S.
Specific to Hong Kong,Michael Sobolik of
the American Foreign Policy Council notes, “Since the 1997 handover by
the United Kingdom, as part of the autonomy arrangement hammered out
with Beijing, Hong Kong has enjoyed special economic treatment that has
made the island-city a haven for capital from the Mainland…If the United
States and other countries were to truly roll back special status for
Hong Kong, it would imperil the assets of Chinese elites.”
The president and congressional leaders
could let it be known that they are preparing legislation that would
end that special status, in the event of a PRC crackdown in Hong Kong.
Already, there’s bipartisan legislation working
its way through Congress that would direct the Department of State to
report to Congress “whether Hong Kong is sufficiently autonomous from
China to justify its unique treatment” under U.S. law. If Hong Kong
“amends its laws to allow the rendition of individuals to countries that
lack defendants’ rights,” the legislation would allow for expedited
visas for Hong Kong residents seeking to work or study in the U.S.,
“even if the applicant had been arrested for participating in certain
nonviolent protests supporting human rights or the rule of law.” It also
directs the Executive branch to submit to Congress “a list of
individuals responsible for abducting and torturing people for
exercising internationally recognized human rights in Hong Kong.” The
legislation would then impose economic sanctions on those individuals
and bar them from entering the United States.
Our Song
The Hong Kong protesters recently
visited the U.S. Consulate to present a petition. As they arrived, they
chanted, “Fight for freedom, stand with Hong Kong.”
They are, quite literally, speaking the language of freedom. Reagan spoke it fluently. In his second inaugural address, he
called it “the American sound…hopeful, big-hearted, idealistic, daring,
decent and fair. That’s our heritage; that is our song.”
Hong Kong is singing it. We should join them.