AMERICAN LEGION MAGAZINE 2.1.20
BY ALAN W. DOWD
"There is only one thing worse than fighting with allies,” Winston Churchill observed, “and that is fighting without them.”
After
standing alone against Adolf Hitler – and then enduring the headaches
and heartaches of North Africa, Normandy and NATO’s early years –
Churchill understood the benefits and burdens of alliances.
U.S.
leaders can relate to the British prime minister’s observation.
Alliance maintenance is an endless, thankless exercise in cajoling,
coaxing and compromising. But it’s better than the alternative: not
having any allies.
They
may be fickle. They may require more attention than expected. They may
not contribute their share to the common defense, as President Trump
points out. But with the Middle East on fire, Russia on the march and
China on the rise,America’s allies are more important today than at any
time since the beginning of the Cold War.
‘A COMMON STRUGGLE’America’s wariness of alliances is part of its DNA.
“It
is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliances with any
portion of the foreign world,” President George Washington explained,
cautioning against “foreign alliances, attachments and intrigues.”
President Thomas Jefferson echoed Washington by calling for “peace,
commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances
with none.”
Heeding
their advice, President Woodrow Wilson insisted that the United States
maintain its independence as an “associated” power during World War I,
bluntly declaring, “We have no allies.”
Given
those historical markers, U.S. alliance-building efforts during the
Cold War seem to be a dramatic departure from Washington’s counsel. As
President John Kennedy observed, “We put ourselves, by our own will and
by necessity, into defensive alliances with countries all around the
globe” – NATO, SEATO, ANZUS, the Rio Pact, bilateral treaties with
Japan, the Philippines and South Korea.
Yet
America’s participation in alliances predates the Cold War. In January
1942, just weeks after Pearl Harbor, the United States organized a
26-nation alliance to wage “a common struggle” against the Axis powers.
U.S.
involvement in alliances even predates World War II. In fact, America
pursued alliances from the very beginning. We seem to forget that
Benjamin Franklin traveled to Paris in 1776 to negotiate – and
ultimately secure – an alliance with France. Between 1778 and 1782, as a
State Department history details, France “provided supplies, arms and
ammunition ... troops and naval support ... transported reinforcements,
fought off a British fleet, and protected Washington’s forces in
Virginia.” While serving as ambassador to France, Jefferson proposed a
U.S.-European “confederation” to fight piracy.
In
short, there has always been tension between America’s desire for
independence and recognition of the benefits of alliances. But the
notion that we avoided alliances until the Cold War is a myth.
A LARGER LOAD What’s not a myth is that America tends to carry a larger load than its allies. This has been true for many decades.
During
the Korean War, the United States accounted for 88 percent of non-ROK
combat forces. In Operation Desert Storm, the United States contributed
80 percent of the combat aircraft and 72 percent of forces deployed. At
the peak of coalition operations in Afghanistan, the United States
accounted for 71 percent of forces deployed. In the initial phases of
Operation Iraqi Freedom, the United States accounted for some 80 percent
of forces deployed in the Central Command region. At the height of
anti-ISIS operations, the United States accounted for 68 percent of the
coalition’s kinetic strikes.
The U.S. share of NATO defense spending is 70 percent today.
There’s
a reason the United States shoulders a bigger share of the burden of
alliance operations: it’s, well, bigger. The United States has a GDP of
$20.5 trillion, a population of 327 million and, owing to its victories
in World War II and the Cold War, interests and bases around the world.
By
comparison, Japan’s GDP is $5.4 trillion, population 126 million;
Germany’s GDP is $4.1 trillion, population 83 million; Britain’s GDP is
$2.9 trillion, population 65 million; France’s GDP is $2.8 trillion,
population 67 million; Italy’s GDP is $2.3 trillion, population 62
million; South Korea’s GDP is $2 trillion, population 51 million;
Canada’s GDP is $1.7 trillion, population 35 million; and Australia’s
GDP is $1.2 trillion, population 23 million.
None
of these nations has the resources of the United States. And owing to
their exhaustion or defeat during World War II, none has the reach of
the United States. Yet many of them really do “punch above their
weight,” as President Barack Obama often said.
Some
three dozen nations contributed troops to the Sisyphean mission in
Afghanistan. They made real sacrifices: 455 Brits, 158 Canadians, 86
French, 54 Germans, 48 Italians, 43 Danes, 41 Australians, 40 Poles and
29 Georgians have died in Afghanistan. These numbers pale in comparison
to the price our Afghan allies have paid: 20,729 Afghan security forces
were killed between 2001 and 2015; 28,529 between 2015 and 2018.
The
43 Danes killed is proportionally equivalent to 2,424 Americans. The 29
Georgians is proportionally equivalent to 2,370 Americans; Afghan
losses would be proportionally equivalent to more than 400,000
Americans. The United States has lost 2,438 troops in Afghanistan. More
than 100,000 Brits, 20,000 South Koreans, 13,900 Poles and 6,100
Japanese cycled through Iraq during Iraqi Freedom. Again, they made real
contributions and heavy sacrifices: 1,952 coalition troops were wounded
and 322 were killed.
Thirty
nations have contributed troops to the anti-ISIS campaign. Australia,
Belgium, Britain, Canada, Denmark, France, Jordan and the Netherlands
joined the United States in conducting airstrikes in both Iraq and
Syria. Australia, Britain, Denmark and France deployed commandoes for
kinetic operations. Germany trained Iraqi troops. Turkey conducted
airstrikes and allowed its bases to be used. The French aircraft carrier
Charles de Gaulle served as a command center during the
operation. After Bashar Assad’s chemical attacks in 2018, Britain and
France joined the United States in conducting punitive strikes against
his regime.
To
be sure, some allies could be more helpful or less exasperating:
Germany could spend more on defense, Tokyo and Seoul could settle a
century-old dispute over the policies of Imperial Japan, Turkey could
stop buying Russian weapons and start behaving like ademocracy, and
Canada could join allied missile-defense efforts. But given the economic
and demographic disparities between the United Statess and its allies,
expecting them to contribute as much as America to the common defense
seems unreasonable.
RENEWED COOPERATION At the height of the Cold War, the United States accounted for 56
percent of NATO’s defense spending, the rest of the alliance 44 percent –
far more balanced than today’s 70-30 split. That explains why Trump,
Obama and their defense secretaries have spent the past decade calling
on NATO allies to contribute more to the common defense.
The
message is getting through. Reawakened to the Russian threat, 26 NATO
members increased defense spending in 2018. By the end of 2020, NATO
Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg reports, NATO’s European and Canadian
members will add $100 billion extra toward defense. By 2024, two-thirds
of the alliance will meet NATO’s standard of investing 2 percent of GDP
in defense.
Wary of China, America’s Pacific partners
are moving in a similar direction. Japan has increased defense spending
eight years in a row. Japan is increasing its East China Sea troop
strength by 20 percent; upconverting its “helicopter carriers” into
flattops capable of deploying fixed-wing F-35Bs; and investing $8.7
billion to underwrite basing U.S. troops on Japanese territory.
South
Korea spends $924 million annually to support America’s presence. Seoul
shouldered 90 percent of the costs for a new U.S. base, and plans to
increase defense spending by an average of 7.1 percent annually between
2020 and 2024.
Australia
is increasing defense spending 81 percent between 2016 and 2025,
doubling its submarine fleet, procuring 72 F-35As, and hosting thousands
of U.S. Marines.
This newfound commitment to the common defense is posturing the West to respond to Russian, Chinese and Iranian aggression.
NATO’s
European members have added 109,000 troops since 2015. Germany, Britain
and Canada are spearheading NATO’s forward-deployed battle groups in
the Baltics. At U.S. urging, NATO recently approved the “Four 30s Plan,”
under which NATO allies will have 30 troop battalions, 30 squadrons of
strike aircraft and 30 warships ready within 30 days of a go-order.
Britain is standing up two Littoral Strike Groups – one in the Indo-Pacific, the other in the Mediterranean-Atlantic.
The
U.S. and German armies recently signed a “strategic vision statement”
that will lead to “an unprecedented level of interoperability,”
according to Defense News, with German brigades deploying under operational control of U.S. Army division headquarters.
Japan,
Australia, Britain and France have joined the United States in
enforcing freedom of navigation in and above the South China Sea. Canada
and France sent warships through the Taiwan Strait in 2019, joining the
U.S. Navy in signaling Beijing that it cannot cordon off international
waterways.
Britain,
Australia, Albania, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait and the UAE
have joined the United States in a mission to protect the Persian Gulf
against Iranian piracy. South Korea is deploying an anti-piracy unit to
assist.
NATO
members are bolstering U.S. efforts to project stability far beyond the
Euro-Atlantic region: it recently launched a 600-man mission to provide
sustained training to the Iraqi army. NATO
is coordinating with Australia, New Zealand, Japan and South Korea “to
address the rise of China,” Stoltenberg reports. In response to Russia,
NATO is increasing its interest and presence in the Arctic.
Plus,
NATO serves as the core of the Proliferation Security Initiative (a
coalition committed to interdicting WMDs and WMD delivery systems on the
high seas) and Combined Maritime Forces (a 33-nation partnership
focused on counterterrorism, counterpiracy and security in the Persian
Gulf).
“If we didn’t have NATO today, we’d need to create it,” Gen. James Mattis contends. “NATO is vital to our interests.”
INSURANCE Indeed, all these allied contributions help secure U.S. interests – the most important of which is preventing great-power war.
NATO
and America’s bilateral alliances in the Indo-Pacific are, for lack of a
better term, insurance policies. For Europe, Canada, Japan, South
Korea, Australia and the Philippines, defense treaties with the United
States serve as insurance against invasion. Without that insurance,
there’s no security, as history has a way of reminding those on the
outside looking in – from Cold War Hungary to post-Cold War Ukraine.
For
the United States, these treaties insure against another Korean
conflict, European crisis or surprise in the Pacific triggering another
war that would inevitably draw it in.
Like all
insurance policies, there are costs associated with alliances. U.S.
defense expenditures earmarked for Europe amount to $36 billion per
year. That’s a lot of money. But consider what we get in exchange for
that insurance premium: a Europe not at war with itself, reinforced
against invasion and free from any hostile force; bases that enable the
United States to project power; and the vast trade and economic benefits
that flow from these realities. (U.S. trade with NATO allies tops $1.6
trillion annually, with Japan, Korea, Australia and the Philippines $508
billion annually.)
Moreover, compare the costs of
defending Europe with the costs of liberating it. A $36 billion
investment in trans-Atlantic security equals less than 0.2 percent of
U.S. GDP. During World War I, by comparison, the United States spent an
average of 16.1 percent of GDP on defense – and sacrificed 116,516
lives. During World War II, it spent an average of 27 percent of GDP on
defense – and sacrificed 405,399 lives.
These alliances
are neither a drain on America’s treasury nor a chain dragging America
into war. In fact, by deterring hostile regimes, serving as bridges to
global hot spots, creating lines of defense beyond America’s shores,
building confidence between old enemies, buttressing a liberal
international order that sustains the American way of life, and
generating sources of material and diplomatic support for American
leadership, these alliances have enhanced America’s power and security.
“Our
strength as a nation is inextricably linked to the strength of our
unique and comprehensive system of alliances,” Mattis explains. “While
the United States remains the indispensable nation in the free world, we
cannot protect our interests or serve that role effectively without
maintaining strong alliances.”
The
“myth is that our allies are making us poor by free-riding on our
military expenditures,” Gen. William Odom, former director of the
National Security Agency, argued in 2008. “How are we to explain that
the United States has gotten richer than its allies? … Our military
alliances, by lowering transaction costs, have facilitated the vast
increases in international trade from which the United States profits
enormously. Our military costs should be seen as investments that pay us
back.”
“There
is no hope for the United States to sustain its role as the world’s
sole superpower without the Europeans as allies,” several former NATO
commanders add.
The
generals recognize something that many Americans overlook: protecting
the homeland, promoting U.S. interests, preserving some
semblance
of order, preventing great-power war. These missions depend on
infrastructure in places like Lakenheath, Fairford, Ramstein, Thule,
Aviano, Yokosuka, Osan, Pyeongtaek, Diego Garcia and Manama.
Having access to that infrastructure depends on having allies – headaches, heartaches and all.