LANDING ZONE 10.15.21
BY ALAN W. DOWD
In 2005, 70% of Americans viewed “building democracy in other countries” as an
“important foreign policy goal of the United States.” Yet by 2013, just 22% of Americans said the United States should “promote democracy and
freedom in other countries,” with 52% of Americans saying the United
States should “mind its own business internationally and let other
countries get along the best they can on their own” -- up from 30% in
2002 and 20% in 1964. By the middle of this year, 69% of Americans supported completely pulling out of Afghanistan and leaving its fledgling democracy to fend for itself.
This pendulum swing is just the latest example of the tension that
has long existed between the American people’s inclination to spread
democratic government and their yearning for a much-deserved break -- or
retirement -- from the hard work of maintaining some semblance of
international order. Historian Walter Russell Mead calls it the “tension
between America’s role as a revolutionary power and its role as a status quo power.”
One way to relieve this tension -- and perhaps stop the wild pendulum swings -- is for America to play the role of a reforming power. That may be easier said than done, but a handful of presidents offer a blueprint for finding that balance.
Role models
In his book “Conservative Internationalism,” Henry Nau, a professor
at George Washington University and former National Security Council
staffer, argues that promoting freedom and democratic government has
always been a tenet of U.S. foreign policy, and should remain so. But
Nau contends that the United States is most effective in pursuing this
worthy objective when devotes its finite resources “to spread freedom on
the borders of existing freedom.”
According to Nau, four presidents were especially adept at this:
Thomas Jefferson, James Polk, Harry Truman and Ronald Reagan. These four
presidents were “disciplined in their use of force by prioritizing
freedom where it was most consequential and likely to succeed: on the
borders of existing freedom” and were able to “tilt the balance of power
in favor of freedom.”
Jefferson (by adding the Louisiana Territory, which was adjacent to
existing U.S. territory) and Polk (by adding territories further west
and north of existing U.S. territory) carried this out across North
America. U.S. territory doubled in size under Jefferson and grew by 60%
under Polk. Both presidents used a mix of diplomacy, force and the
threat of force to achieve their aims. The effect, as Nau explains, was
the expansion of freedom. For all their personal flaws and internal
inconsistencies, Jefferson and Polk “led a republic that moved faster
... to emancipate minorities than Mexico or any European power might
have if they had prevailed in the western territories” of North America.
Truman called on America “to help free peoples maintain their free
institutions.” Thus, as Nau explains, Truman “expanded the cause of
freedom for the first time beyond the confines of the Western Hemisphere
and inspired the Cold War policy of militarized containment that
incubated democracy in Germany, Western Europe and Japan.” From there,
South Korea would be added to the Free World fold -- and one day, so
would Eastern Europe.
According to Nau, Reagan’s “unabashed agenda of freedom” coupled with
“military and economic rearmament” would achieve exactly that, as his
policies -- material support for Poland’s Solidarity movement, aid to
freedom fighters and other anti-communist groups in Central America and
Afghanistan, the targeted use of force to punish assaults on
international norms of behavior in places like Libya and Grenada, peace
through deterrent strength, and use of the bully pulpit to promote
freedom on the other side of the Iron Curtain -- “brought the Cold War
to an end and spread liberty across Europe.”
Reformer
In these examples, we see the outlines of a blueprint for how a reforming power engages the world.
A reforming power avoids overreach and overextension, while remaining
committed to and supportive of democratic partners. Thus, Truman came
to the aid of West European democracies under assault from communist
movements and launched the NATO alliance to defend the democratic space,
give fledgling democracies the opportunity to take root, and give
battered democracies the opportunity to heal and rebuild. However, he
didn’t try to plant democracy in East Germany or North Korea.
A reforming power supports nations seeking to move their internal
political systems toward democratic governance. Thus, Reagan launched
initiatives “to foster the infrastructure of democracy -- the system of a
free press, unions, political parties, universities -- which allows a
people to choose their own way, to develop their own culture, to
reconcile their own differences through peaceful means.” And when
Corazon Aquino defeated Ferdinand Marcos in free and fair elections,
Reagan persuaded Marcos to accept the results and refrain from using
force to stay in power. He then quietly provided America’s longtime
anticommunist bulwark a dignified way out. Reagan’s solution: a one-way
ticket to Hawaii for Marcos and his wife.
A reforming power doesn’t try to make the world “safe for democracy,” but it surely stands with established and emerging
democracies. Truman did that in Western Europe, West Germany and Japan.
Reagan did that in the Americas, the Philippines and South Korea.
Regrettably, withdrawing from Afghanistan -- which held seven elections between 2001 and 2020 -- demoralized its military and doomed its democratic experiment.
A reforming power “goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy,” but it surely marshals and maintains the resources
necessary to ensure that America’s democracy can deter the world’s
autocracies. Truman did exactly that, after a brief postwar drawdown,
laying the groundwork for containment of the Soviet empire and
deterrence of Moscow’s aggressive impulses. Reagan revived that proven
peace-through-strength doctrine, rebuilt America’s deterrent
capabilities and reinvested in democracy’s greatest defender: the U.S.
military. Regrettably, sequestration drastically reduced the resources committed to America’s military, and Washington’s multitrillion-dollar pandemic-relief programs threaten to consume those resources.
As we enter what Henry Kissinger calls the “foothills of a Cold War”
with China, the United States as a reforming power would prudently and
rapidly shift toward Cold War-levels of investment in deterrent military
strength. Yet defense spending has plummeted from 4.7% of GDP in 2009
to 3.1% of GDP today. The Cold War average was more than twice that.
Finally, a reforming power would be resistant to the temptation to
remake broken places in America’s image -- recognizing that there must
be internal support for the arduous work of building democracy on the
rubble of anarchy or autocracy, and that there must be strong support
among the American people for such an effort. As Nau observes, we must
“keep our strategy in line with our resources and political will.” If
support is lacking on either side of the equation, democracy will not
take hold.
Alternative
To be sure, Americans have, at various junctures in our history,
believed that promoting and planting free government is very much in the
national interest. And America’s leaders have, at various junctures in
our history, promoted that view.
“No democracy threatens the United States,” Nau points out. “That
fact alone suggests that the type of domestic regime matters greatly in
the calculus of America’s national interests.” And that helps explain
why President Wilson vowed that America would “make the world safe for
democracy,” why President Clinton argued that “enhancing our security, bolstering our economic prosperity and
promoting democracy are mutually supportive,” why President Bush declared that the advance of freedom "is the calling of our time ... the calling of our country.”
The premise of such thinking is sound. After all, democracies don’t
go to war with one another; they don’t threaten their neighbors; they
embrace human rights, majority rule and minority rights, the worth and
dignity of the individual, the rule of law within and between nations.
To get a sense of the profound difference between a world populated by
democracies and one dominated by autocracies, imagine if America’s
northern and southern neighbors were autocracies, or compare the Europe
of today with the Europe of 1981 or 1939 or 1914.
Yet with all that said, U.S. troops and diplomats cannot plant and
grow democracy overseas if the American people lack the energy,
endurance and patience to see such an effort through. The shift in
public opinion cited above and indeed the most important public-opinion
surveys of all -- recent presidential elections -- underscore that the
American people, at least for now, don’t want to shoulder the burdens
that come with being a revolutionary, democracy-building power. Playing
the role of a reforming power may be the ideal alternative for this
moment in U.S. history.