ASCF REPORT 12.7.21
BY ALAN W. DOWD
Air Force officials are
calling the B-52’s engine-upgrade initiative the “biggest modernization
program in its history.” DefenseOne adds, “The new engines are intended
to enable the B-52 to serve alongside the future B-21 Raider as the
airborne leg of the nuclear triad into the 2050s.” That means the B-52
airframe could still be flying on its 100th birthday.
In
one sense, this is a testament to American ingenuity and engineering.
“When we built the B-52, it was supposed to be a high-altitude nuclear
bomber,” explains Maj. Gen. Andrew Gebara of Air Force Global Strike
Command. “Then it became a low-altitude nuclear bomber. And then it
became a high-altitude carpet bomber in Vietnam. And then it became a
standoff cruise missile shooter in Desert Storm. And then it became a
precision strike close air support platform in Afghanistan and Iraq. And
now we're going to make it the first hypersonic shooter in the American
inventory.” For a warplane born early in the Jet Age to evolve through
those eras and adapt to those different roles is a credit to its design,
durability and maintainers.
However,
for Americans to rely on what is now a 70-year-old airframe to provide a
significant share of our deterrent capabilities is, in another sense,
an indictment of 21st-century America’s inability to plan, commit,
sacrifice and invest. It’s both reckless and wrong to put off
development, to delay recapitalization, to order our defenders to make
do with planes their grandfathers—and, soon, their
great-grandfathers—flew.
Worries
The numbers paint a sobering and increasingly worrisome picture. In 1989, as the Cold War thawed, the U.S. bomber fleet comprised 422 airframes. By 2001,
on the eve of the War on Terror, the U.S. bomber fleet had shrunk to
181 planes. Today, as we careen toward Cold War II, the U.S. deploys
just 141 bombers: 76 B-52s, 45 B-1Bs and 20 B-2s.
If those numbers don’t get your attention, the age of those airframes should: The B-2 entered service in 1993, the B-1B in 1986, the B-52 in 1955. The KC-135 tankers that
keep America’s bomber force in the air began flying in 1957.
The
reason the youngest of America’s bomber force is entering its 30s and
the oldest is nearing its 70s, as the Lexington Institute explains, is
simple: “The U.S. has not developed a new heavy bomber in three
decades.”
None of this
would be particularly worrisome if China, Russia, North Korea and Iran
respected their neighbors and international norms of behavior. But the
hard truth is that China is using military coercion and military force
to gain control over international airspace and international waters;
threatening its neighbors; expanding the reach, capabilities and quality
of its military; building illegal militarized islands; growing its
nuclear arsenal; and fielding layered air-defenses designed to target
and kill U.S. bombers.
Russia is reincorporating parts of the former Soviet Union piecemeal, massing troops on the borders of NATO allies, threatening nuclear war against NATO members, violating arms treaties, and deploying air-defense systems around the Mediterranean.
North
Korea is testing nukes and long-range missilery. Iran is ambushing
naval vessels and maritime traffic in international waters, opening its
airspace to Russian bombers, and continuing its quest to build a nuclear
weapon.
Add to this list the Taliban’s takeover of Afghanistan,
which reopens that forever-broken country to al Qaeda and other
jihadist groups.
The
U.S. has turned repeatedly to America’s bomber force to respond to these
threats and provocations: Washington has sent flights of B-52s over the
South and East China Seas to enforce freedom of the skies. Similarly,
to enforce freedom of the seas, B-52s have overflown Beijing’s
made-in-China islands. In the Air Force equivalent of gunboat diplomacy,
B-52s have flown to Australia, and B-2s have been dispatched to Alaska.
When China ratcheted up its response to an international tribunal’s
invalidation of its outlandish claims over most of the South China Sea,
the Pentagon deployed a package of B-2s “to provide consistent and credible air power throughout the
Indo-Asia-Pacific region,” as an Air Force commander reported. B-52s,
B-1Bs and B-2s have teamed up for what the Air Force calls “integrated
bomber operations” in the Indo-Pacific, which enfold simultaneous
exercises over the South China Sea and Northeast Asia.
As
Moscow reverts to its old ways, Air Force bombers have been called back
to the familiar skies over Europe. In the wake of Moscow’s assault on
Ukraine and continued provocations, B-52s and B-2s routinely deploy to
European airbases. Some fly over Central and Eastern Europe; others over the Baltic Sea and the Arctic; still others skim above the East Siberian Sea, just beyond Russian territory.
Indeed,
“demand for bombers remains high worldwide,” as the Air Force recently
noted, after detailing deployments of B-52s to Europe, Africa Command
and Southern Command. By the midpoint of this year, for example, B-52s
had flown 1,424 sorties and logged 8,597 hours.
That’s just the tip of the iceberg for America’s bombers, which have served as the tip of the spear in the post-Cold War era.
B-1Bs
participated in Operation Desert Fox in Iraq (1998), Operation Allied
Force in Serbia and Kosovo (1999), Operation Enduring Freedom/Operation
Freedom’s Sentinel (2001-2021) in Afghanistan, Operation Iraqi
Freedom/Operation New Dawn (2003-2011), Operation Odyssey Dawn in Libya
(2011) and Operation Inherent Resolve in Iraq/Syria (2014-present). B-1Bs also deployed to support the strike that eliminated ISIS leader Bakr al-Baghdadi in Syria (2019). B-2s contributed to Allied Force, Enduring Freedom,
Iraqi Freedom, Odyssey Dawn and follow-on strikes against ISIS targets
in Libya in 2017.
And B-52s, which have been flying combat missions since Vietnam, took
part in Desert Fox, Allied Force, Enduring Freedom, Iraqi Freedom,
Inherent Resolve and Desert Storm. In fact, B-52s delivered 40 percent
of all weapons dropped by the coalition during Desert Storm, according
to the Air Force. Moreover, 46 nuclear-armed B-52s and B-2s are always on alert as part of America’s nuclear-deterrent force.
https://www.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/1072726/weapons-school-officers-employ-total-force-training-during-libya-b-2-strike/
Put another way: Not only is the bomber force too old and too small; it’s overworked.
The
good news is that America’s next bomber—the B-21 stealth bomber—is on
its way to the production lines. Air Force leaders want the future
bomber fleet to be sized “just north” of 220 airframes, as Gen. Timothy
Ray, commander of Air Force Global Strike Command, explained in an
interview with National Defense magazine.
To reach the 220-mark, the Air Force plans to procure 100 B-21s, while
updating and retrofitting some B-1Bs and B-52s. The plan is to retire
the B-2 (currently America’s only radar-evading stealth bomber) in the
2030s.
The bad news is that the B-21 hasn’t even flown yet and won’t be ready for service until 2026 or 2027. The worse news is that between now and then, just 12 percent of America’s aging bomber fleet will be able to penetrate and survive a
peer enemy’s air-defense systems. Let’s hope 12 percent of a modern
bomber force will serve as an adequate deterrent over the next five
years.