FrontPage | 10.22.12
By Alan W. Dowd
President Barack Obama came out swinging at last night’s
debate, repeatedly calling Governor Mitt Romney “reckless and wrong” on a range
of foreign policy issues. But to extend the over-used boxing metaphor, Romney deflected
many of Obama’s attacks, didn’t get caught in the corners, counterpunched often
enough and relentlessly pivoted to the economy. Indeed, Romney acted, looked
and sounded more like the incumbent at times—measured, reserved, a person who
could already be commander-in-chief. But let’s look at some of those punches
and counterpunches, hits and misses.
Romney began the evening by noting that “we can’t kill our
way out of this mess”—an implicit critique of Obama’s drone war, which is a
tactic dressed up as a strategy—and that “al Qaeda is not on the run”—an
implicit critique of Obama’s post-bin Laden narrative. Romney pointed to Mali
and Libya. We can add Iraq to this list. Al Qaeda’s franchise in Iraq (AQI) had
been decimated and effectively destroyed before Obama’s abrupt withdrawal of
American forces. But a year later, AQI numbers some 2,500 fighters and “is
carrying out an average of 140 attacks each week across Iraq,” AP reports. “The
Iraqi efforts to combat terrorist groups have been negatively affected by the
U.S. pullout,” said an Iraqi military spokesman.
Obama brandished his “leadership in organizing an
international coalition” in Libya. In truth, he famously “led from behind”
(which is not leadership). As Britain and France strained to try to do what the
United States used to do effortlessly, the White House talked about a
“time-limited, scope-limited” mission; the president promised that America’s
military would play a “supporting role”; and incredibly—laughably, if it were
not a matter of life and death—when NATO asked Washington to extend air
operations at one critical point in the mission, a NATO
official took pains to emphasize that the extension of U.S. air
power “expires on Monday.” Now that’s leadership.
On pure debating points, Obama “scored” when he mocked
Romney’s concerns about Putin’s Russia by saying, “The 1980s are now calling to ask for their foreign policy back
because, you know, the Cold War’s been over for 20 years.” But it
probably came across as smart-aleck to many voters. And the more thoughtful
ones—the ones who have read about Putin’s massive nuclear war games, his recent
decision to end the Nunn-Lugar threat reduction program, his plans to deploy 2,300 new tanks, 600 new warplanes, 400 new ICBMs and 28 new subs in
the next 10 years, his grim vision for military expansion into the Arctic—may
conclude that Romney has a point.
Romney counterpunched effectively by turning to Obama and
saying he would never ask for—or promise—Putin more “flexibility.”
Obama repeatedly talked about his steadiness and clarity in
an attempt to paint Romney as unsteady and “all over the map.” “As
commander-in-chief,” he intoned, seemingly reassuring himself with the practiced
words, “I’ve learned you’ve got to be clear.”
Well, where to begin?
Was Obama clear when he initially defended Hosni Mubarak—as some
in his administration openly called Mubarak America’s friend—and then tossed
Mubarak aside when the crowds got too loud in Cairo? What kind of message did
that form of clarity send to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia and America’s other Arab
allies?
Was he clear with America’s NATO allies on Libya (see above)?
Was he clear on Syria? Recall that
in announcing his decision to attack Moammar Gadhafi’s forces in Libya, Obama declared, “We cannot stand idly by when a tyrant tells his people
that there will be no mercy…where innocent men and women face brutality and
death at the hands of their own government.” That sounds like a fairly accurate
description of what has transpired in Syria. And yet Libya’s rebels got Obama’s
help, albeit halfhearted, while Syria’s rebels got the back of Obama’s hand. “Imagine
if we had pulled out of Libya,” Obama said during the debate, referencing
Romney’s reticence about toppling Gadhafi. We don’t have to imagine that,
because we can see what staying out of Syria has yielded.
Was he clear in Iran? As
the Iranian people rose up against a sham election and as Ahmadinejad’s
henchmen crushed the popular revolt in 2009, Obama sat silent. “When the students took to the streets in
Tehran and the people there protested,” Romney recalled, “for the president to
be silent I thought was an enormous mistake.” The sad irony of the
president’s silence as democracy died in Tehran in 2009 was that it answered
his own rhetorical question of a year before, albeit in a manner his supporters would never have imagined.
“Will we stand for the human rights of…the blogger in Iran?” he asked during
his 2008 rock-concert speech in Berlin. Now we know the answer—and so do the
friendless Iranians. They expected more from America.
Was he clear on China? In 2009, Obama
envisioned “spheres of cooperation” between China and America, and insisted
that “the United States does not seek to contain China.” By 2011, he was
proudly unveiling his “Pacific pivot” aimed at, well, containing China. Whether
China should be contained (it should) is not the point here; it’s whether Obama’s message “as
commander-in-chief” has been clear (it has not).
Was he clear about America standing up for freedom and
democracy? In 2009 Obama’s secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, announced, “The
foreign policy of the United States is built on the three Ds: defense,
diplomacy and development.” Noticeably, strikingly, jarringly absent was
something every administration since Woodrow Wilson has, at least rhetorically,
promoted: democracy.
Was he clear about America’s
mission in Afghanistan? Obama famously concluded in 2009 that “it is in
our vital national interest to send an additional 30,000 U.S. troops to
Afghanistan,” before promising that “after 18 months, our troops will begin to come home.” Setting aside the
bizarre notion that “our vital national interest” has an expiration date, his tacit
message to Hamid Karzai and the ever-dwindling number of Afghan troops willing
to fight the Taliban was: Don’t count on us for the long haul. Doubtless, that
message was amplified by the president’s hasty pullout from Iraq.
Speaking of Iraq, Romney tried to remind viewers that Obama
at least pretended to support keeping a residual force of several thousand
troops in Iraq. In a not-so-clever sleight of hand, Obama kept repeating
Romney’s call to keep troops in Iraq (which was accurate) without conceding the
point Romney was making (which was also accurate). In fact, Obama’s commanders and Obama’s own vice president—“ I’ll bet you my vice presidency Maliki will extend
the SOFA,” Vice President Joe Biden said in 2011,
referring to a status of forces of agreement to cover a long-term U.S. presence
in Iraq—as well Iraqi military
commanders and State Department officials, counted on a force of perhaps 20,000
to help provide security and training. As Frederick Kagan, one of the
architects of the surge, explained, “Painstaking staff work in Iraq led Gen. Lloyd Austin to
recommend trying to keep more than 20,000 troops in Iraq after the end of
2011.” But Obama, no doubt with an eye on the U.S. political calendar, offered
a residual force of just 3,000 troops—a force not even large enough to protect
itself. When Baghdad balked, as
Kagan reports, “The White House then dropped the matter entirely and decided
instead to withdraw all U.S. troops from Iraq by the end of this year, despite
the fact that no military commander supported the notion that such a course of
action could secure U.S. interests.” That’s worth repeating: “no military
commander supported” a complete withdrawal.
When asked about America’s role in the world, Romney talked
about defending freedom, leading, standing by our allies (noting Obama’s sad record in Poland and
Israel) and standing by our principles (noting the missed opportunity in
Iran).
Obama answered by retreating into a litany of poll-tested
talking points for his inward-looking base, mentioning “nation-building here at
home,” declaring that “our alliances have never been stronger” and promising to
“hire more teachers.” (Even Bob Bob Schieffer had to interject,
“Let me get back to foreign policy.”)
But Obama would
not be deterred. He said he would “put Americans back to work, especially our
veterans, rebuilding our roads, our bridges.” What a patronizing, small thing
to say. There is no dishonor in building bridges or roads or doing any kind of
work that is ethical. But to say that his plan for veterans—the avengers of
9/11, the liberators of Iraq and Afghanistan, the hunters of bin Laden and
Zarqawi, the defenders of our homeland, the protectors of the global commons—is
to have them build bridges reveals what he thinks of these men and women. They
have done everything their country has asked of them. They are the strongest,
smartest, most lethal and yet most restrained military in history. And their
commander-in-chief wants them to fill potholes.
When asked about defense spending and defense cuts, Romney answered with a
thoughtful statement of the federal government’s main responsibility,
explaining that he would “get rid” of programs “we don’t absolutely have to
have” so that we can put resources into programs that we absolutely need—namely,
national defense. After all, the Constitution calls on the government to
“provide for the common defense” in the very first sentence; then grants
Congress the power to declare war, “raise and support armies…provide and
maintain a navy…make rules for calling forth the militia…provide for
organizing, arming and disciplining the militia”; authorizes the president to
serve as commander-in-chief; and discusses war, treason and America’s enemies
in Article III. On the other hand, the Constitution says nothing about
retirement pensions, social safety nets, stimulus programs, health care or
education.
Romney expressed concerns about the Navy shrinking down to its smallest size
since 1917, the Air Force growing older and smaller, the two-war strategy being
jettisoned by Obama—and was right to do so: According
to Air Force Magazine, the average age of the active-duty air fleet is 20.4
years; the average age of the bomber fleet is 30.3 years. Right now, the
Navy is trying to stretch a 10-carrier fleet to do the work of 12 carriers. And
as The New York Times reports,
rather than being able to fight and win two wars in different regions, Obama’s
plan for a military with fewer resources and a smaller reach calls on the
Pentagon only to be capable of “denying the objectives of—or imposing
unacceptable costs on—an opportunistic aggressor in a second region.” That’s
not an insignificant difference.
What Obama fails to understand is that the two-war strategy
gave the military resources to carry out other important missions—missions that
are less intensive than full-blown conflicts against nation-state rivals:
counterterrorism ops in the Philippines and Abbottabad and Somalia, air wars in
Libya and Kosovo, counter-piracy off the Horn of Africa, freedom-of-navigation
maneuvers in the Strait of Hormuz and South China Sea, humanitarian rescues in
Japan and Haiti. In other words, the two-war strategy gave the Pentagon and the
commander-in-chief a tool box full of resources that could be used in several
ways. As the number of tools in the toolbox diminishes, the number of missions
the Pentagon can perform will as well.
Revealing the worldview of
poli-sci professor, Obama explained that “We spend more on the military than
the next 10 countries combined.” Of course, the next 10 countries don’t ask
their militaries to do what ours does. But Obama didn’t stop there. He offered
a pedantic, petty comment about the military having fewer “horses and bayonets”
than in 1917. “We have these things called aircraft carriers where planes land
on them,” he sneered. “We have these ships that go underwater, nuclear
submarines. And so the question is not a game of Battleship where we’re
counting ships. It’s what are our capabilities?”
Again, his smart-aleck comment is better suited for a
college debate class than a commander-in-chief. By the way, numbers do matter.
Just ask CENTCOM Commander Gen. James Mattis, who requested an extra
aircraft carrier to send a deterrent message after Tehran had threatened to
attack U.S. ships in the Strait of Hormuz. That request was denied because the
extra carrier was needed in the Pacific. There weren’t enough ships.
In his offensive against defense spending, Obama even declared, “We need to be
thinking about space.” This is the same man who canceled the space shuttle’s
successor program—a program that was endorsed by bipartisan majorities in
Congress and presidents from both parties—and flat-lined NASA spending.
That takes a lot of chutzpah, but Obama had plenty last
night. In his priceless closing statement, Obama criticized the “record
deficits” of the previous administration and promised to reduce the deficit,
pursue energy independence and cut spending. Again, this is the same man who
added $5.3 trillion to the national debt in less than four years, regulated
coal to death, blocked oil drilling permits and the Keystone XL pipeline, and
ballooned federal outlays with $1.8 trillion in new stimulus and ObamaCare
spending.
On Iran, Obama boasted about his success in building an
international sanctions coalition. “We made sure all countries participated,”
he intoned, applauding himself for “painstaking” work. In fact, “all countries”
are not participating. Japan, South
Korea, China and India—some
fairly important countries—are all still receiving oil from Iran.
Obama suggested that his intelligence agencies would “give
us a sense of when [Iran] would get breakout capacity.” So, the same
intelligence community he is scapegoating for Benghazi, the same intelligence
community that failed on North Korea’s nuclear detonation and the 9/11 attacks
and Saddam Hussein’s WMDs is going to be able to tell us when the mullahs are
on the verge of nuclear capability?
During his flurry on Iran, Obama also hit hard—and low—on Romney’s visit to
Israel, wrapping himself in the Holocaust and declaring, “I didn’t take donors, I didn’t attend
fundraisers” while touring Israel.
If Romney wanted
to score a cheap point, he would have hit back at Obama with something like,
“No, Mr. President you only attend fundraisers after deadly attacks on our diplomats.”
But Romney wasn’t out to score cheap points. He wanted to show the center of
the country that he was up to the task of commander-in-chief. One gets
the sense that he achieved that.